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Will U.S. unemployment rate drop below 4% by February 5, 2026?
Economy ActiveThe U.S. labor market has been a key indicator of economic recovery post-pandemic. This question gauges public sentiment on whether recent policy measures and corporate hiring trends will push unemployment to a notably low level.
Resolution Date:
Feb 05, 2026 00:00
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Resolution Rules:
Outcome will be 'Yes' if the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports an unemployment rate below 4% for January 2026 in their official release (typically first Friday of February). Outcome will be 'No' if the rate is 4% or higher, or if no data is released by the deadline.
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