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Will a ceasefire be agreed upon in the Ukraine conflict by February 5, 2026?

Geopolitics Active

The ongoing conflict in Ukraine remains a critical geopolitical issue. This market assesses the likelihood of a formal ceasefire in the near term, reflecting global diplomatic efforts.

Resolution Date:

Feb 05, 2026 00:00

Total Volume:

$0.00

Traders:

0

Positions:

0

Resolution Rules:

This market resolves to 'Yes' if a formal ceasefire agreement is announced by representatives of Ukraine and Russia by February 5, 2026, as reported by major news outlets (e.g., BBC, Reuters). If no such agreement is confirmed, it resolves to 'No'.

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YES

Event will happen

Price

$0.50

50.0% chance

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NO

Event will not happen

Price

$0.50

50.0% chance

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Volume: $0.00 0 positions